Estimating potential cardiovascular health benefits of improved population level control of LDL cholesterol through a twice-yearly siRNA-based approach: A simulation study of a health-system level intervention.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Inclisiran, an siRNA therapy, consistently reduces low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with twice-yearly dosing. Potential cardiovascular benefits of implementing inclisiran at a population level, added to statins, were evaluated through simulation. METHODS: For each participant in the ORION-10 and ORION-11 trials comparing inclisiran with placebo, baseline 10-year cardiovascular risk was estimated using the SMART equation. The time-adjusted LDL-C difference from baseline observed 90-540 days after baseline was assumed to persist and used to estimate potential reduction in 10-year cardiovascular risk. Impact on 500,000 ORION-like individuals was simulated with Monte-Carlo. RESULTS: Mean baseline LDL-C and predicted 10-year major vascular risk among patients randomized to inclisiran (n = 1288) versus placebo (n = 1264) were 2.66 mmol/L versus 2.60 mmol/L and 24.9% versus 24.6%, respectively. Placebo-corrected time-adjusted absolute reduction in LDL-C with inclisiran was -1.32 mmol/L (95% CI -1.37 to -1.26; p < 0.001), which predicted a 10-year cardiovascular risk of 18.1% with inclisiran versus 24.7% with placebo (absolute difference [95% CI], -6.99% [-7.33 to -6.66]; p < 0.001) NNT 15. Extrapolating to 500,000 inclisiran-treated individuals, the model predicted large population shifts towards lower quintiles of risk with fewer remaining in high-risk categories; 3350 to 471 (≥80% risk), 11,793 to 3332 (60-<80% risk), 52,142 to 22,665 (40-<60% risk), 197,752 to 141,014 (20-<40% risk), and more moving into the lowest risk category (<20%) from 234,963 to 332,518. CONCLUSIONS: Meaningful gains in population health might be achieved over 10 years by implementing at-scale approaches capable of providing substantial and sustained reductions in LDL-C beyond those achievable with statins.

PCSK9 inhibition with orally administered NNC0385-0434 in hypercholesterolaemia: a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled and active-controlled phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: Currently available injectable drugs that target proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) reduce serum LDL cholesterol and improve cardiovascular outcomes. This phase 2 study assessed NNC0385-0434, an oral PCSK9 inhibitor, in individuals receiving oral lipid-lowering therapy. METHODS: In this randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled and active-controlled trial, 42 research sites across seven countries (Belgium, Germany, Greece, Japan, the Netherlands, Poland, and the USA) recruited individuals with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (aged ≥40 years) or at high risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (aged >50 years), who had LDL cholesterol concentration of at least 1·8 mmol/L and were receiving maximum tolerated statins and stable lipid-lowering therapy. The study randomly allocated participants (3:1) with an interactive web response system to receive either NNC0385-0434 (15 mg, 40 mg, or 100 mg) once a day co-formulated with the oral absorption enhancer sodium N-[8-(2-hydroxybenzoyl)amino] caprylate (500 mg); placebo; or open-label evolocumab (140 mg) every 2 weeks administered subcutaneously. Blinding was performed within each dose level. The primary endpoint was percentage change from baseline in LDL cholesterol measured by ß quantification at week 12. All randomly assigned participants received at least one dose of treatment and were included in both safety and efficacy analyses. The trial was registered on ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04992065, and is completed. FINDINGS: Between Aug 16, 2021, and Jan 28, 2022, we randomly assigned 267 patients to one of the three NNC0385-0434 dose cohorts (n=53 per cohort), matching placebo (n=54), or open-label evolocumab (n=54). The study population comprised 82 (31%) women and 185 (69%) men; mean age was 64·3 years (SD 9·0). Baseline mean LDL cholesterol concentration was 2·7 mmol/L (SD 0·8). Treatment with NNC0385-0434 resulted in reductions in LDL cholesterol from baseline to week 12, of 32·0 percentage points (95% CI 20·9 to 43·0) in the 15 mg cohort, 44·9 percentage points (33·8 to 56·0) in the 40 mg cohort, and 61·8 percentage points (50·7 to 72·9) in the 100 mg cohort, compared with the placebo group (p<0·0001 for each). Patients treated with evolocumab had similar LDL cholesterol reductions (59·6% [SE 4·1] decrease from baseline) to patients receiving NNC0385-0434 100 mg (56·2% [4·0]). The estimated treatment difference between NNC0385-0434 100 mg and evolocumab 140 mg was 3·4 percentage points [95% CI -7·8 to 14·7]. The most frequently reported adverse event was COVID-19, which affected 31 (12%) of 267 patients, with similar numbers across treatment groups. Investigative sites reported gastrointestinal disorders as the most frequent treatment-related adverse event (26 patients and 35 events total in the three NNC0385 cohorts and one patient and one event each in the placebo and evolocumab cohorts). No deaths or treatment-related serious adverse events occurred. INTERPRETATION: This study showed excellent 12-week LDL cholesterol lowering efficacy and good patient tolerance of an oral PCSK9 inhibitor, NNC0835-0434, similar to an injectable drug. However, the sponsor chose to discontinue further development of NNC0835-0434 due to portfolio considerations. FUNDING: Novo Nordisk.

Association of plasma proteomics with incident coronary heart disease in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes: results from the population-based KORA study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major global health concern, especially among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Given the crucial role of proteins in various biological processes, this study aimed to elucidate the aetiological role and predictive performance of protein biomarkers on incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D. METHODS: The discovery cohort included 1492 participants from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) S4 study with 147 incident CHD cases (45 vs. 102 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 15.6 years of follow-up. The validation cohort included 888 participants from the KORA-Age1 study with 70 incident CHD cases (19 vs. 51 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 6.9 years of follow-up. We measured 233 plasma proteins related to cardiovascular disease and inflammation using proximity extension assay technology. Associations of proteins with incident CHD were assessed using Cox regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Predictive models were developed using priority-Lasso and were evaluated on top of Framingham risk score variables using the C-index, category-free net reclassification index (cfNRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: We identified two proteins associated with incident CHD in individuals with and 29 in those without baseline T2D, respectively. Six of these proteins are novel candidates for incident CHD. MR suggested a potential causal role for hepatocyte growth factor in CHD development. The developed four-protein-enriched model for individuals with baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.017; cfNRI: 0.253; IDI: 0.051) and the 12-protein-enriched model for individuals without baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.054; cfNRI: 0.462; IDI: 0.024) consistently improved CHD prediction in the discovery cohort, while in the validation cohort, significant improvements were only observed for selected performance measures (with T2D: cfNRI: 0.633; without T2D: ΔC-index: 0.038; cfNRI: 0.465). CONCLUSIONS: This study identified novel protein biomarkers associated with incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D and reaffirmed previously reported protein candidates. These findings enhance our understanding of CHD pathophysiology and provide potential targets for prevention and treatment.

C-reactive protein modifies lipoprotein(a)-related risk for coronary heart disease: the BiomarCaRE project.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recent investigations have suggested an interdependence of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)]-related risk for cardiovascular disease with background inflammatory burden. The aim the present analysis was to investigate whether high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) modulates the association between Lp(a) and coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population. METHODS: Data from 71 678 participants from 8 European prospective population-based cohort studies were used (65 661 without/6017 with established CHD at baseline; median follow-up 9.8/13.8 years, respectively). Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted models were calculated according to accompanying hsCRP concentration (<2 and ≥2 mg/L). RESULTS: Among CHD-free individuals, increased Lp(a) levels were associated with incident CHD irrespective of hsCRP concentration: fully adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios [sHRs (95% confidence interval)] for the highest vs. lowest fifth of Lp(a) distribution were 1.45 (1.23-1.72) and 1.48 (1.23-1.78) for a hsCRP group of <2 and ≥2 mg/L, respectively, with no interaction found between these two biomarkers on CHD risk (Pinteraction = 0.82). In those with established CHD, similar associations were seen only among individuals with hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L [1.34 (1.03-1.76)], whereas among participants with a hsCRP concentration <2 mg/L, there was no clear association between Lp(a) and future CHD events [1.29 (0.98-1.71)] (highest vs. lowest fifth, fully adjusted models; Pinteraction = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: While among CHD-free individuals Lp(a) was significantly associated with incident CHD regardless of hsCRP, in participants with CHD at baseline, Lp(a) was related to recurrent CHD events only in those with residual inflammatory risk. These findings might guide adequate selection of high-risk patients for forthcoming Lp(a)-targeting compounds.

Low-Dose Colchicine in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Recent Myocardial Infarction in the Colchicine Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial (COLCOT).

OBJECTIVE: The cardiovascular benefits of low-dose colchicine have been demonstrated in patients with coronary disease. Its effects were evaluated in this prespecified analysis in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) from the Colchicine Cardiovascular Outcomes Trial (COLCOT). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: COLCOT was a randomized, double-blinded trial of colchicine, 0.5 mg daily, versus placebo initiated within 30 days after a myocardial infarction. RESULTS: There were 959 patients with T2D enrolled and monitored for a median of 22.6 months. A primary end point event occurred in 8.7% of patients in the colchicine group and in 13.1% in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0.65; 95% CI 0.44-0.96; P = 0.03). Nausea was reported in 2.7% and 0.8% in the study groups (P = 0.03), and pneumonia occurred in 2.4% and 0.4% (P = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with T2D and a recent myocardial infarction, colchicine, 0.5 mg daily, leads to a large reduction of cardiovascular events. These results support the conduct of the COLCOT-T2D trial in primary prevention.

Agreement among high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays and non-invasive testing, clinical outcomes, and quality-of-care outcomes based on the 2020 European Society of Cardiology Guidelines.

AIMS: Quality-of-care and safety of patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS) would benefit if management was independent of which high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assay was used for risk stratification. We aimed to determine the concordance of hs-cTn assays to risk-stratify patients with suspected ACS according to the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 2020 Guidelines. METHODS AND RESULTS: Blood samples were obtained at arrival and at 2 h from patients with suspected ACS using four hs-cTn assays. The patients were classified into rule-out/observe/rule-in strata based on the ESC 2020 Guidelines. Concordance was determined among the assays for rule-out/observe/rule-in strata. The prevalences of significant underlying disease (≥50% stenosis on coronary computed tomography or inducible myocardial ischaemia on stress testing) and adjudicated ACS, plus quality-of-care outcomes, were compared. Among 238 patients (52.7 ± 8.0 years; 40.3% female), the overall concordance across assays to classify patients into rule-out/observe/rule-in strata was 74.0% (176/238). Platforms significantly differed for rule-out (89.9 vs. 76.5 vs. 78.6 vs. 86.6%, P < 0.001) and observe strata (6.7 vs. 20.6 vs. 17.7 vs. 9.2%, P < 0.001), but not for rule-in strata (3.4 vs. 2.9 vs. 3.8 vs. 4.2%, P = 0.62). Among patients in ruled-out strata, 19.1-21.6% had significant underlying disease and 3.3-4.2% had ACS. The predicted disposition of patients and cost-of-care differed across the assays (all P < 0.001). When compared with observed strata, conventional troponin-based management and predicted quality-of-care outcomes significantly improved with hs-cTn-based strategies (direct discharge: 21.0 vs. 80.3-90.8%; cost-of-care: $3889 ± 4833 vs. $2578 ± 2896-2894 ± 4371, all P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Among individuals with suspected ACS, patient management may differ depending on which hs-cTn assay is utilized. More data are needed regarding the implications of inter-assay differences. TRAIL REGISTRATION: NCT01084239.

Proteogenomic Data Integration Reveals CXCL10 as a Potentially Downstream Causal Mediator for IL-6 Signaling on Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Genetic and experimental studies support a causal involvement of IL-6 (interleukin-6) signaling in atheroprogression. Although trials targeting IL-6 signaling are underway, any benefits must be balanced against an impaired host immune response. Dissecting the mechanisms that mediate the effects of IL-6 signaling on atherosclerosis could offer insights about novel drug targets with more specific effects. METHODS: Leveraging data from 522 681 individuals, we constructed a genetic instrument of 26 variants in the gene encoding the IL-6R (IL-6 receptor) that proxied for pharmacological IL-6R inhibition. Using Mendelian randomization, we assessed its effects on 3281 plasma proteins quantified with an aptamer-based assay in the INTERVAL cohort (n=3301). Using mediation Mendelian randomization, we explored proteomic mediators of the effects of genetically proxied IL-6 signaling on coronary artery disease, large artery atherosclerotic stroke, and peripheral artery disease. For significant mediators, we tested associations of their circulating levels with incident cardiovascular events in a population-based study (n=1704) and explored the histological, transcriptomic, and cellular phenotypes correlated with their expression levels in samples from human atherosclerotic lesions. RESULTS: We found significant effects of genetically proxied IL-6 signaling on 70 circulating proteins involved in cytokine production/regulation and immune cell recruitment/differentiation, which correlated with the proteomic effects of pharmacological IL-6R inhibition in a clinical trial. Among the 70 significant proteins, genetically proxied circulating levels of CXCL10 (C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10) were associated with risk of coronary artery disease, large artery atherosclerotic stroke, and peripheral artery disease, with up to 67% of the effects of genetically downregulated IL-6 signaling on these end points mediated by decreases in CXCL10. Higher midlife circulating CXCL10 levels were associated with a larger number of cardiovascular events over 20 years, whereas higher CXCL10 expression in human atherosclerotic lesions correlated with a larger lipid core and a transcriptomic profile reflecting immune cell infiltration, adaptive immune system activation, and cytokine signaling. CONCLUSIONS: Integrating multiomics data, we found a proteomic signature of IL-6 signaling activation and mediators of its effects on cardiovascular disease. Our analyses suggest the interferon-γ-inducible chemokine CXCL10 to be a potentially causal mediator for atherosclerosis in 3 vascular compartments and, as such, could serve as a promising drug target for atheroprotection.

Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and inflammatory response in the KORA study.

Previous studies consistently showed an association between fine atmospheric particulate matter (PM2.5) and cardiovascular diseases. Concerns about adverse health effects of ultrafine particles (UFP) are growing but long-term studies are still scarce. In this study, we examined the association between long-term exposure to ambient air pollutants and blood biomarkers of inflammation and coagulation, including fibrinogen, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), serum amyloid A (SAA) adiponectin and interleukin-6 (IL-6), measured in the German KORA-S4 cohort study (1999-2001). IL-6 was available for older participants only, who were therefore considered as a subsample. Annual mean concentrations of UFP (as particle number concentration), particulate matter in different particles sizes (PM10, PMcoarse, PM2.5, PM2.5 absorbance), ozone (O3), and nitrogen oxides (NO2, NOX) were estimated by land-use regression models and assigned to participants' home addresses. We performed a multiple linear regression between each pollutant and each biomarker with adjustment for confounders. Per 1 interquartile range (IQR, 1945 particles/cm3) increase of UFP, fibrinogen increased by 0.70 % (0.04; 1.37) and hs-CRP increased by 3.16 % (-0.52; 6.98). Adiponectin decreased by -2.53 % (-4.78; -0.24) per 1 IQR (1.4 µg/m3) increase of PM2.5. Besides, PM2.5 was associated with increased IL-6 in the subsample. In conclusion, we observed that long-term exposure to air pollutants, including both fine and ultrafine particles, was associated with higher concentrations of pro-inflammatory and lower concentrations of an anti-inflammatory blood biomarkers, which is consistent with an increased risk for cardiovascular disease observed for long-term exposure to air pollutants.

Age- and sex-adjusted reference intervals for steroid hormones measured by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry using a widely available kit.

Objective: Measurements utilizing commercially available sets of reagents for determination of steroid hormone profiles by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) have become increasingly important for routine laboratories. However, method-specific publications of reference intervals obtained from sufficiently large studies are often missing. Methods: After validation of performance characteristics, a widely available kit for steroid analysis by LC-MS/MS was used to measure concentrations of 15 endogenous steroids (aldosterone, cortisol, cortisone, corticosterone, 11-deoxycortisol, 21-deoxycortisol, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, estradiol, testosterone, androstenedione, dihydrotestosterone, dehydroepiandrosterone, 17-hydroxyprogesterone, 11-deoxycorticosterone, progesterone) in more than 500 blood samples from a population-based study. While randomly selected from a larger cohort, the samples equally represented both sexes and covered a wide range of adult age groups. Age- and sex-specific reference intervals were calculated, and correlation with BMI was assessed. Results: Performance characteristics of the assay matched expectations for 9 of 15 steroids. For most of them, reference intervals obtained from our study population were comparable to those reported by others, with age and sex being the major determinants. A sex-specific correlation with BMI was found for seven steroids. We identified limitations regarding sensitivity of the method for quantification of progesterone in males and postmenopausal females. Concentrations of aldosterone, 21-deoxycortisol, estradiol, 11-deoxycorticosterone, and dihydrotestosterone could not be quantified in a large percentage of samples. Conclusions: The reference intervals for nine steroids will support meaningful interpretation for steroid profiles as measured by a widely used kit for LC-MS/MS-based quantification. Laboratories using such kits must be aware of potential limitations in sensitivity for some steroids included in the profile. Significance Statement: Quantification of steroid hormones is a cornerstone for diagnosis of several diseases. Commonly used immunoassays have limitations in specificity. Liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) is a promising alternative, particularly if methods are harmonized across laboratories. The use of kits from commercial suppliers might support this. Clinical interpretation of steroid concentrations requires availability of appropriate reference intervals (RIs), but studies on RIs reported in the literature differ in preanalytical and analytical procedures. Here, we provide RIs for steroids measured by a widely available kit under preanalytical conditions mirroring common clinical practice. Such RIs might facilitate interpretation for those using the same method and comparable conditions in clinical routine.

Safety and Tolerability of Inclisiran for Treatment of Hypercholesterolemia in 7 Clinical Trials.

BACKGROUND: Inclisiran is a small interfering RNA agent to lower low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to provide reliable evidence to date on the long-term safety profile of inclisiran. METHODS: This post hoc analysis comprised patients treated with 300 mg inclisiran sodium or placebo in the completed (ORION-1, -3, -5, -9, -10, and -11) and ongoing (ORION-8) trials. Exposure-adjusted incidence rates and Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative incidence of reported treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAE), abnormal laboratory measurements, and incidence of antidrug antibodies were analyzed. RESULTS: This analysis included 3,576 patients treated with inclisiran for up to 6 years and 1,968 patients treated with placebo for up to 1.5 years, with 9,982.1 and 2,647.7 patient-years of exposure, respectively. Baseline characteristics were balanced between groups. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that TEAEs that were serious or led to discontinuation; hepatic, muscle, and kidney events; incident diabetes; and elevations of creatine kinase or creatinine accrued at a comparable rate between groups for up to 1.5 years, with similar trends continuing for inclisiran beyond this period. Numerically fewer major cardiovascular events reported as TEAEs occurred with inclisiran during this period. Treatment-induced antidrug antibodies were uncommon with inclisiran (4.6%), with few of these persistent (1.4%) and not associated with greater incidence of TEAEs leading to study drug discontinuation or serious TEAEs. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term treatment with inclisiran was well tolerated in a diverse population, without new safety signals, supporting the safety of inclisiran in patients with dyslipidemia.

Lipid Lowering Drugs in Acute Coronary Syndromes (ACS).

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The purpose of this review is to critically discuss whether more aggressive lipid-lowering strategies are needed in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS). RECENT FINDINGS: Currently, available data on early (in-hospital/discharge) administration of potent lipid-lowering drugs, such as proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors in patients during the vulnerable post-ACS phase, have clearly demonstrated clinical efficacy of the "strike early and strike strong" approach not only for rapid reduction of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) to unprecedentedly low levels, but also for associated favorable composition of coronary plaque. Intensive lipid-lowering therapy with rapid achievement of the LDL-C treatment goal in ACS patients seems reasonable. However, whether such profound LDL-C reduction would result in additional benefit on the reduction of future CV events still has to be established. Thus, data addressing CV outcomes in such vulnerable patients at extreme CV risk are urgently needed.

Inclisiran in patients with prior myocardial infarction: A post hoc pooled analysis of the ORION-10 and ORION-11 Phase 3 randomised trials.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Among patients with prior myocardial infarction (MI), the risk of future ischaemic cardiovascular events is increased, and intensive lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) is indicated to achieve guideline-recommended low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) goals. Here, the efficacy and safety of inclisiran, a small interfering ribonucleic acid, were evaluated in patients with or without prior MI from the pooled ORION-10 and ORION-11 Phase 3 trials. METHODS: Patients (n = 2636) were randomised 1:1 to receive 284 mg inclisiran (300 mg inclisiran sodium) or placebo on Day 1, Day 90, and 6-monthly thereafter over 18 months, along with background oral LLT, including statins. Of these, 1643 (62.3%) patients had an MI prior to randomisation, stratified as recent (>3 months to <1 year) or remote (≥1 year), and 993 (37.7%) patients were without a prior MI. The percentage change in LDL-C from baseline and safety were assessed. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were well balanced across the treatment arms and MI strata. The mean (95% confidence interval) placebo-corrected LDL-C reductions from baseline to Day 510 with inclisiran were 52.6% (40.1, 65.1), 50.4% (47.0, 53.8), and 51.6% (47.4, 55.9) for recent, remote, and no prior MI, respectively. Corresponding time-adjusted LDL-C reductions were 50.0% (41.4, 58.7), 52.2% (49.8, 54.7), and 51.2% (48.1, 54.2). In each MI stratum, treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) at the injection site (all mild to moderate) were observed more in inclisiran-treated patients than placebo, without an excess of other TEAEs. CONCLUSIONS: Inclisiran provided effective and consistent LDL-C lowering, irrespective of MI status.

Cystatin C based estimation of chronic kidney disease and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in the ALS registry Swabia: associated risk and prognostic value.

Kidney function as part of metabolic changes could be associated with amyotrophic lateral-sclerosis (ALS). We investigated the associations between estimated chronic kidney disease (CKD), based on the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) cystatin C equation, and the risk at onset and prognostic value of CKD for ALS. Between October 2010 and June 2014, 362 ALS cases (59.4% men, mean age 65.7 years) and 681 controls (59.5% men, means age 66.3 years) were included in a population-based case-control study based on the ALS registry Swabia in Southern Germany. All ALS cases were followed-up (median 89.7 months), 317 died. Serum samples were measured for cystatin C to estimate the glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) according to the CKD-EPI equation. Information on covariates were assessed by an interview-based standardized questionnaire. Conditional logistic regression models were applied to calculate odds ratios (OR) for risk of ALS associated with eGFR/CKD stages. Time-to-death associated with renal parameters at baseline was assessed in ALS cases only. ALS cases were characterized by lower body mass index, slightly lower smoking prevalence, more intense occupational work and lower education than controls. Median serum cystatin-C based eGFR concentrations were lower in ALS cases than in controls (54.0 vs. 59.5 mL/min pro 1.73 m2). The prevalence of CKD stage ≥ 3 was slightly higher in ALS cases than in controls (14.1 vs. 11.0%). In the adjusted models, CKD stage 2 (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.32, 2.52) and stage 3 (OR 2.34, 95% CI 1.38, 3.96) were associated with increased ALS risk. In this cohort of ALS cases, eGFR and CKD stage ≥ 3 (HR 0.94; 95% CI 0.64, 1.38) were not associated with prognosis. In this case-control study, higher CKD stages were associated with increased ALS risk, while in the prospective cohort of ALS cases, no indication of an association of CysC-based CKD on mortality was seen. In addition, our work strengthens the importance to evaluate renal function using a marker independent of muscle mass in ALS patients.

Circulating miR-133a-3p defines a low-risk subphenotype in patients with heart failure and central sleep apnea: a decision tree machine learning approach.

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and central sleep apnea (CSA) are at a very high risk of fatal outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To test whether the circulating miRNome provides additional information for risk stratification on top of clinical predictors in patients with HFrEF and CSA. METHODS: The study included patients with HFrEF and CSA from the SERVE-HF trial. A three-step protocol was applied: microRNA (miRNA) screening (n = 20), technical validation (n = 60), and biological validation (n = 587). The primary outcome was either death from any cause, lifesaving cardiovascular intervention, or unplanned hospitalization for worsening of heart failure, whatever occurred first. MiRNA quantification was performed in plasma samples using miRNA sequencing and RT-qPCR. RESULTS: Circulating miR-133a-3p levels were inversely associated with the primary study outcome. Nonetheless, miR-133a-3p did not improve a previously established clinical prognostic model in terms of discrimination or reclassification. A customized regression tree model constructed using the Classification and Regression Tree (CART) algorithm identified eight patient subphenotypes with specific risk patterns based on clinical and molecular characteristics. MiR-133a-3p entered the regression tree defining the group at the lowest risk; patients with log(NT-proBNP) ≤ 6 pg/mL (miR-133a-3p levels above 1.5 arbitrary units). The overall predictive capacity of suffering the event was highly stable over the follow-up (from 0.735 to 0.767). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of clinical information, circulating miRNAs, and decision tree learning allows the identification of specific risk subphenotypes in patients with HFrEF and CSA.

Leukocytes carrying Clonal Hematopoiesis of Indeterminate Potential (CHIP) Mutations invade Human Atherosclerotic Plaques.

Background: Leukocyte progenitors derived from clonal hematopoiesis of undetermined potential (CHIP) are associated with increased cardiovascular events. However, the prevalence and functional relevance of CHIP in coronary artery disease (CAD) are unclear, and cells affected by CHIP have not been detected in human atherosclerotic plaques. Methods: CHIP mutations in blood and tissues were identified by targeted deep-DNA-sequencing (DNAseq: coverage >3,000) and whole-genome-sequencing (WGS: coverage >35). CHIP-mutated leukocytes were visualized in human atherosclerotic plaques by mutaFISH™. Functional relevance of CHIP mutations was studied by RNAseq. Results: DNAseq of whole blood from 540 deceased CAD patients of the Munich cardIovaScular StudIes biObaNk (MISSION) identified 253 (46.9%) CHIP mutation carriers (mean age 78.3 years). DNAseq on myocardium, atherosclerotic coronary and carotid arteries detected identical CHIP mutations in 18 out of 25 mutation carriers in tissue DNA. MutaFISH™ visualized individual macrophages carrying DNMT3A CHIP mutations in human atherosclerotic plaques. Studying monocyte-derived macrophages from Stockholm-Tartu Atherosclerosis Reverse Networks Engineering Task (STARNET; n=941) by WGS revealed CHIP mutations in 14.2% (mean age 67.1 years). RNAseq of these macrophages revealed that expression patterns in CHIP mutation carriers differed substantially from those of non-carriers. Moreover, patterns were different depending on the underlying mutations, e.g. those carrying TET2 mutations predominantly displayed upregulated inflammatory signaling whereas ASXL1 mutations showed stronger effects on metabolic pathways. Conclusions: Deep-DNA-sequencing reveals a high prevalence of CHIP mutations in whole blood of CAD patients. CHIP-affected leukocytes invade plaques in human coronary arteries. RNAseq data obtained from macrophages of CHIP-affected patients suggest that pro-atherosclerotic signaling differs depending on the underlying mutations. Further studies are necessary to understand whether specific pathways affected by CHIP mutations may be targeted for personalized treatment.

Medical care and biomarker-based assessment of mortality in two cohorts of patients with chronic coronary syndrome 10 years apart.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to describe the characteristics and mortality of two cohorts of patients with chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) recruited with identical study designs in the same rehabilitation clinics but approximately 10 years apart. METHODS: The KAROLA cohorts included patients with CCS participating in an inpatient cardiac rehabilitation programme in Germany (KAROLA-I: years 1999/2000, KAROLA-II: 2009-2011). Blood samples and information on sociodemographic factors, lifestyle, and medical treatment were collected at baseline, at the end of rehabilitation, and after one year of follow-up. A biomarker-based risk model (ABC-CHD model) and Cox regression analysis were used to evaluate cardiovascular (CV) and non-CV mortality risk. RESULTS: We included 1130 patients from KAROLA-I (mean age 58.7 years, 84.4% men) and 860 from KAROLA-II (mean age 60.4 years, 83.4% men). Patients in the KAROLA-I cohort had significantly higher concentrations of CV biomarkers and fewer patients were taking CV medications, except for statins. The biomarker-based ABC-CHD model provided a higher estimate of CV death risk for patients in the KAROLA-I cohort (median 3-year risk, 3.8%) than for patients in the KAROLA-II cohort (median 3-year risk, 2.7%, p-value for difference < 0.001). After 10 years of follow-up, 91 (8.1%) patients in KAROLA-I and 45 (5.2%) in KAROLA-II had died from a CV event. CONCLUSIONS: Advances in disease management over the past 20 years may have led to modest improvements in pharmacological treatment during cardiac rehabilitation and long-term outpatient care for patients with CCS. However, modifiable risk factors such as obesity have increased in the more recent cohort and should be targeted to further improve the prognosis of these patients.

Global Effect of Modifiable Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Five modifiable risk factors are associated with cardiovascular disease and death from any cause. Studies using individual-level data to evaluate the regional and sex-specific prevalence of the risk factors and their effect on these outcomes are lacking. METHODS: We pooled and harmonized individual-level data from 112 cohort studies conducted in 34 countries and 8 geographic regions participating in the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium. We examined associations between the risk factors (body-mass index, systolic blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, current smoking, and diabetes) and incident cardiovascular disease and death from any cause using Cox regression analyses, stratified according to geographic region, age, and sex. Population-attributable fractions were estimated for the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease and 10-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 1,518,028 participants (54.1% of whom were women) with a median age of 54.4 years, regional variations in the prevalence of the five modifiable risk factors were noted. Incident cardiovascular disease occurred in 80,596 participants during a median follow-up of 7.3 years (maximum, 47.3), and 177,369 participants died during a median follow-up of 8.7 years (maximum, 47.6). For all five risk factors combined, the aggregate global population-attributable fraction of the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease was 57.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 62.1) among women and 52.6% (95% CI, 49.0 to 56.1) among men, and the corresponding values for 10-year all-cause mortality were 22.2% (95% CI, 16.8 to 27.5) and 19.1% (95% CI, 14.6 to 23.6). CONCLUSIONS: Harmonized individual-level data from a global cohort showed that 57.2% and 52.6% of cases of incident cardiovascular disease among women and men, respectively, and 22.2% and 19.1% of deaths from any cause among women and men, respectively, may be attributable to five modifiable risk factors. (Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05466825.).